If Iran collapses...

Let there be no doubt in anyone's mind; the turn will quickly come to Turkey.

Especially if they divide and fragment Iran with the support of Kurdish ethnicism—which is not at all out of the question—it will be impossible to curb the arrogance of the PKK and its derivatives.

One does not need a crystal ball or a fortune teller's cup to predict how this would reflect on Turkey under today's circumstances and conditions. Anyone with a modicum of diplomatic literacy can easily foresee this.

Let us underline this with a thick pen.

No protest in the Middle East is innocent. There is no one who does not know that CIA and Mossad agents are running rampant in Iran. No matter how justified the reasons may be, it inevitably leads back to the strategic planning of foreign intelligence services.

Especially if the country in question is one like Iran, which maintains the regional balance...

The foreign agenda has focused on Trump kidnapping Maduro and his wife like a bandit, but let us continue to keep our own neighborhood under the microscope.

The activity that has begun on the streets of Iran should not be read solely under the heading of economic crisis or opposition to the regime. There is a much more familiar scenario behind this business.

Let us formulate it as follows:

If imperialism has an interest, it first weakens the state, then divides the society; it dissolves it, scratching at ethnic and sectarian fault lines. Then it waits for it to fall like a ripe pear.

Of course, we have seen this movie before. And how many times...

In Iraq in 2003, then in Syria... Now, more or less the same scenario is being staged in Iran with a few insignificant changes. Considering that the son of the deposed Shah of Iran is also among the actors, the matter seems a bit more serious this time.

Why is Iran being targeted?

Because despite all its problems and troubles, it is still a state. Moreover, it positions itself both politically and strategically against Israel.

More importantly, it has not fully surrendered to America.

It has a weight that disrupts Israel's regional calculations.

As long as Iran stands firm, Israel will not be able to feel as comfortable in the region as a dogless village. Especially for Netanyahu, what is more painful and dire is the possibility that Iran could possess nuclear weapon capabilities at any moment.

There you have a complete disaster scenario for Israel...

As for Washington, the issue is not the freedom of the Iranian people or anything of the sort. Anyone with a bit of common sense can see this.

It never was.

The issue is bringing a country to heel that does not fully obey, does not surrender, objects to being integrated into the international capitalist system in line with the interests of American imperialism, and, on top of that, poses a vital threat to Israel.

It is that simple.

The calculation is this: If the justified objection rising in the streets is well-directed from the outside, it will quickly turn into an apparatus for regime change.

America is already an expert in this regard. Will it work? We will understand in due time.

But the real danger here for us is the dragging of the protests onto an ethnic line. That is, the deployment of the Kurdish card into the field through the PKK and its derivatives...

Why would the US do this?

Because separatist Kurdish movements are non-state and do not recognize borders; they put regional countries like Turkey, Iraq, and Syria under pressure simultaneously.

As we have seen in recent history, they tried it in Iraq, they tried it in Syria, and they were largely successful.

Now, the same strategic planning is on the table for Iran.

If the protests in Iran are combined with headings such as "Kurdish autonomy," "federal structure," or "self-determination," this will cease to be just an internal matter of Iran. This will turn into a geopolitical operation directly targeting Turkey.

A possible ethnic fracture in Iran would stir up PJAK, the Iranian branch of the PKK; it would strengthen the Qandil–Sinjar–Rojava line. It would open a new breathing tube for the PKK.

This means the simultaneous encirclement of Turkey from the east and the south.

Moreover, it will not just be a security issue.

Waves of migration will come, border smuggling will increase; the traffic of weapons, drugs, and militants will accelerate.

While Turkey is already carrying the burden of Syria and Iraq, instability originating from Iran would create an unbearable pressure.

Turkey's border, stretching from Nakhchivan to Syria, would effectively turn into a terror corridor. In other words, the crack in Iran would extend to the gates of Anatolia.

One must absolutely not look at this issue through a sectarian lens. Saying "let Iran weaken" is strategic blindness. No one has to look at the Mullah regime with sympathy; however, when it comes down to the supreme interests of the country, the importance of thinking rationally and taking a political position accordingly becomes clear.

Turkey's interest is not a geography that is fragmented, divided into ethnic and sectarian camps, and governed by proxy wars.

This must be seen clearly.

Turkey's interest lies in neighbors that maintain their integrity and have state reflexes.

Let us conclude our article by saying that those who applaud the fire lit in Iran today should not be surprised if that fire spreads to their own homes tomorrow.