Has the Strait of Hormuz truly opened, or is this just the “fog of a ceasefire”?
How does the backlog of 1,500 ships threaten the global energy order?
Why is the U.S. unable to achieve its goals on the ground despite its military superiority?
How did Iran turn geography into a weapon in this war?
Why have Russia and China taken such an open position for the first time, both at the UN and on the ground?
Has the crisis management model of NATO and the West collapsed?
Has Israel's strategic isolation entered an irreversible process?
In 50 days, the global logistics order has been turned upside down. The Strait of Hormuz has supposedly opened, but the crisis is not over.
This war is no longer just a regional crisis. It is a major test where the dissolution process of U.S. hegemony is accelerating and the foundations of a multipolar order are being laid through Iran.
This war has revealed that in naval power, which is the main backbone of the hegemonic power, the decisive factor is not only technology and high firepower; logistics, geography, will, and public resistance play roles that are at least as critical.
The combined use of geographical superiority and asymmetric capacity has clearly proven that an extremely powerful escalation capability can be created.
If the Strait of Hormuz can be closed, the world is no longer the same.
The U.S., which was forced to send the USS H.W. Bush aircraft carrier to the Arabian Sea by routing it around the Cape of Good Hope, will not only close the Strait of Hormuz if it enters a new adventure upon the ship's arrival in the region, or if Israel attacks Lebanon again; it will also close the Bab-el-Mandeb through the Houthis.
In this case, the whole world will suffer. This situation will multiply the antipathy toward the stick-wielding U.S. and Israel, not toward Iran.
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