We have tried to write about this before. The world, especially Europe, is officially falling apart in a climate reminiscent of 1913-14. The question that concerns us is this: Will two major entities whose surroundings have been razed to the ground take on the role of the Ottoman Empire from 110 years ago as a single line today? Has the time finally come for the definitive fragmentation of the Turkey-Iran line?
Because the other units have been torn to pieces. The famous "Oded Yinon Plan," produced as a remedy in 1980s Israel, appears to have largely reached its conclusion when we look at the region. There is enough information about this plan on the internet and in every language. What is missing is this: Is there perhaps one last stop left?
Is that stop the Turkey-Iran line?
Anyway.
Our subject is not this "plan."
Our subject is the traditional Munich Security Conference, which began today in Munich and will continue until Sunday. We would say "the rumor is worse than the occurrence," but there is no need to say it. Because it is both being heard and occurring: The world is breaking apart, piece by piece. And it is being broken by the world's "head master," the US, which flourished thanks to the system established after 1945 but has been rapidly losing its capacity in recent decades.
Therefore, an "openly conducted" struggle has now begun among the masters of the world.
A struggle, or even a throat-slitting, is already contrary to capitalism, but doesn't the fact that it is being declared on this scale show that the reins have snapped completely and the centrifugal forces have been unleashed entirely?
It seems so.
They are setting out on a new path!
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, not even three weeks ago at the World Economic Forum in Davos, gave a speech that was understood to be the result of a long reckoning and caused a great stir. He stepped off the "stage" after reminding everyone that the fracture on a global scale must now be seen, that they are setting out on a new path, and that their doors are open to those who want to walk with them, as is known: "That is Canada’s path. We choose it openly and confidently, and it is a path wide open to any country willing to take it with us."
Everything is very clear: The world system we know has gone off the rails.
And there is no one who knows whether the brakes will hold.
However, the issue is not Carney's speech. Another text, which he likely also has knowledge of (or at least his experts know well), is the subject on the table at another international meeting that began today in Munich. The document of the short path between Davos and the Munich Security Conference, and the report published in advance as the Conference's foundational text, the Munich Security Report, was announced to the public with a ruthless title: "Under Destruction."
The world's capitalists, plutocrats, oligarchs, etc., have all begun to declare together that they are going through a process of destruction, and that this is the work of the US, acting as a "wrecking ball." The scapegoat is Donald Trump.
They are not entirely wrong.
Good.
But one might ask, "Have they only just come to their senses?" This is of no importance. Because there is no answer to it. However, it is clear that the report titled "Under Destruction," presented as the foundational text in Munich, along with the speech in Davos, has been in circulation for quite some time.
What is important is the demolition of a structure that can no longer be sustained by reform or anything of the sort: The Pax Americana established after 1945 is now being demolished by the US itself and through the agency of Donald Trump. They are forced to. The Munich Security Conference will be the scene of quite a bit of squabbling within this framework for three days. Europe is in turmoil. However, we may not immediately receive news and commentary on the real throat-slitting that will take place in the background. They will hide it. We will try to look at these.
US and EU: Can they solve it without dissolving?
In the conference's preliminary report, there are some findings and claims that concern us closely. One of those regarding Europe is as follows:
"A sense of insecurity is growing in Europe. Russia continues to advance on the front in Ukraine and is expanding its hybrid war against European states. The US, meanwhile, is gradually withdrawing, putting its support for Kyiv on shaky ground, and in the meantime, is adopting a harsh stance against its own allies with threats to 'acquire' Greenland. Washington's engagement in European security is becoming increasingly unpredictable, more incalculable, and access to the US protective umbrella is becoming increasingly conditional. While these things are happening in the background, European governments are pursuing a two-pronged strategy: maintaining close relations with the US, but at the same time, striving to expand their own autonomy."
These are findings compiled by the seasoned militants of anti-communist hysteria, coming from the US's long-time vassals. It is clear what a difficult situation they are in. And what about the solutions?
The power of the US is waning. Europe, on the other hand, has no power. Does the easy withdrawal of a world "security" system led by the US from the stage not mean leaving the field to chaos? It does.
It is understood that they may pin the bill on the Turkey-Iran line, which we could call the Ottoman Empire of 110 years later.
But these lands have always had an answer in modern times and in such chaotic periods of reckoning. 1923 was just one example. 1923 is an achievement we cannot return to because it is now in the past. It is very important, yes, but it does not take us forward. We, of course, will not go back from it. However, it may be possible to build a brand-new society with the knowledge of that achievement and the possibilities of today.
Looking at it this way, the world becoming chaotic is not bad news if you think a new and egalitarian society can be built.
There is much to be said based on this conference in Munich. But the report opened for discussion is a complete disaster. A cry of "We are collapsing!" Let's see if they can overcome it.
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