What happened to the stock market, what could happen next?
The BIST 100 index fell to as low as 7,446 points on Friday. It closed the week at 7,510 points, marking a 3.33 percent loss in value.
There were warnings that one should exit at the 8,490-point level and wait in cash, gold, or silver.
The decline of the BIST 100 index from 8,490 to 7,510, and the rise of gram gold from 1,678 to 1,857, demonstrate the accuracy of that decision.
WHY DID IT LOSE VALUE?
1- Technically, there was already a need for profit-taking.
2- The Israel-Hamas war served as a convenient excuse for this.
3- There was an increase in the number of those wanting to move to cash due to the perception of geopolitical risk.
4- Credit closures caused additional selling.
5- Novice investors being unable to control their emotions and engaging in panic selling.
6- Fear-driven selling by those trading on margin.
WHAT COULD HAPPEN NOW?
1- Following such sharp sell-offs, rebound rallies usually occur.
2- Since there is room below, one should not expect a definitive directional break.
3- Exchange rates and interest rates are rising. In other words, as exchange rates and interest rates rise, declines remain limited.
3- Sharp declines increase the appetite for margin buying, and rebound purchases happen quickly.
4- IPOs are continuing; it is said that around 70 companies are waiting. This causes demand to persist.
5- Aside from interest rates and the stock market, there are no instruments with good returns. Demand for the stock market will continue.
6- It may recover last week's losses in the coming week.
WHAT SHOULD BE DONE?
1- One needs to be a long-term investor, not a speculator.
2- It is necessary to control emotions, avoid panic, and seek professional support from brokerage firms.
3- Implement gradual buying during declines. One should not buy everything at once, but rather in 25 percent increments.
4- One should avoid margin trading and short selling.
5- Remain calm during declines and view them as additional opportunities.
6- Prefer corporate firms and get to know the company.
The stock market is a good choice that rewards investors in the long run.
News Source: 12punto
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