Alarm bells in the ruling party: 30 percent threshold remains unbroken, door-to-door visits on the agenda

It is stated that the AKP, which has been unable to stop its loss of votes following the last local elections, is seeking a new strategy in line with public opinion poll results. It is reported that evaluations are being made within party circles to hit the ground running during the month of Ramadan and to increase one-on-one contacts.

Economic difficulties, rising political tension, the arrest of a presidential candidate, operations against the main opposition, debates over merit in public appointments, and pre-election promises are listed among the prominent topics behind the AKP's vote loss in recent years. It is noted that despite public reactions, there has been no significant change in these areas.

THE PICTURE HAS NOT CHANGED SINCE THE LOCAL ELECTIONS

The AKP, which has been in power since 2002, fell to the position of the second party for the first time in the 2024 local elections. It is stated that this picture has largely been maintained in public opinion research conducted after the elections.

A similar picture emerges in polls regarding the presidency. Imprisoned presidential candidate Ekrem İmamoğlu continues to rank first in all scenarios where he is asked alongside Recep Tayyip Erdoğan.

THE UNBROKEN 30-35 PERCENT BAND

In the majority of polls published under the heading "If there were a general election this Sunday," it is seen that the AKP's vote share is stuck between 30 and 35 percent. It is among the claims that the party leadership is aware of this situation and is evaluating various formulas, including election economics, to reverse the loss of votes.

THE LATEST FORMULA: DOOR-TO-DOOR VISITS

According to the report by Merve Kılıç from Cumhuriyet, the AKP leadership plans to send its organizations back to the field to slow the rate of vote loss. It is reported that the implementation of the door-to-door visit method, which has not been used for a long time, is on the agenda.

It is stated that party officials express that if the organizations actively hit the field, the vote share could be moved above the 40 percent band. In this context, it is stated that the month of Ramadan is seen as a critical period for one-on-one contacts and visits.

News Source: 12punto