Candidacy shock for Erdoğan: No approval! Latest poll results reveal a major decline for the People's Alliance

The results of the “June 2025 Voter Agenda Survey,” conducted face-to-face by Ankara Araştırma ve Danışmanlık between June 20-23 with a total of 2,004 people across 28 provinces, 59 districts, and 145 associated neighborhoods/villages, have been shared with the public.

CHP IS THE LEADING PARTY, AKP IS IN SECOND PLACE

In response to the question, "If there were a Parliamentary General Election tomorrow, which party would you vote for?", the CHP emerged as the leading party with 26.8 percent before the distribution of undecided voters, while the AKP ranked second with 22.8 percent. When undecided voters and those who will not vote are evaluated together, they reached 22.5 percent.

The vote shares of other parties before the distribution of undecided voters were ranked as follows:

DEM: 7.2%

MHP: 5.9%

Zafer Party: 4.8%

İYİ Party: 3.0%

YRP: 2.6%

TİP: 1.1%

A Party: 0.8%

Other: 2.5%

When undecided voters are distributed, the estimated vote shares were as follows:

CHP: 34.6%

AKP: 29.4%

DEM: 9.3%

MHP: 7.6%

Zafer Party: 6.2%

İYİ Party: 3.9%

YRP: 3.3%

TİP: 1.4%

A Party: 1.1%

Other: 3.2%

MAJOR REJECTION OF ERDOĞAN’S CANDIDACY AT A RATE OF 57.7%

To the question, "Should Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be a presidential candidate again?", 37.2 percent of participants answered "He should be a candidate," while 57.7 percent replied "He should not be a candidate." 5.1 percent said they had no opinion.

While only 7.5 percent of AKP voters want Erdoğan not to be a candidate, this rate rose to 10.2 percent among MHP voters.

MANSUR YAVAŞ AND EKREM İMAMOĞLU LEAVE ERDOĞAN BEHIND

When Erdoğan and Ankara Metropolitan Municipality Mayor Mansur Yavaş are compared in presidential elections; 32.2 percent of participants preferred Erdoğan, while 47.0 percent supported Yavaş. The rate of undecided voters was 13.3 percent, and those who said "I will not go to the polls" was 7.5 percent. When undecided voters are distributed, Yavaş reached 59.4 percent, while Erdoğan remained at 40.6 percent.

Similarly, when Erdoğan and Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu are compared, İmamoğlu was ahead with 48.3 percent and Erdoğan remained at 34.1 percent before the distribution of undecided voters. When undecided voters are distributed, İmamoğlu’s vote share became 58.6 percent, and Erdoğan’s became 41.4 percent.