Frightening warning from earthquake expert: 'The worst-case scenario...'
Earthquake expert Prof. Dr. Osman Bektaş emphasized that preparations must be made in accordance with the worst-case scenario against the possibility of a major earthquake in Istanbul. Bektaş explained the seismic characteristics of the Marmara region and the potential dangers in detail.
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Earthquake and geology expert Prof. Dr. Osman Bektaş, regarding the earthquakes experienced in the Marmara region and a potential major earthquake in Istanbul, made alarming statements. In Istanbul, recent dFollowing the recent increase in seismic activity,Bektaş stated that while an earthquake of magnitude 7or greaterisnot expected in the city,he added,"Preparationsshould be based on the worstprepare according to the worst-case scenarioshould be done," he warned.
Bektaş, in a post on his personal social media account,provided important information to citizens who continue to closely monitor the aftershockearthquakes occurring in and around the Sea of Marmara.
AS SEISMIC ACTIVITY IN THE MARMARA REGION INCREASES, THE RISK OF A MAJOR EARTHQUAKE PERSISTS
The Sea of Marmara was shaken once again on October 3rd by an earthquake with a magnitude of 3.5.I. Before that, on October 2, the sameregion experienced a magnitude 5 tremor. Anothershaking occurred. Earthquake experts, regarding the aftershocks in theregionexpressing his concerns regarding earthquakes.
"THERE WILL NOT BE A MAGNITUDE 7EARTHQUAKE,BUT...Prof. Dr. Bektaş stated that for Istanbul,a magnitude 7 earthquake will not occur, but...
Prof. Dr. Bektaş, for Istanbula magnitude 7that he does not foresee an earthquake in thenear future, he stated that“preparations should be madeaccording to the worstcase scenario.” Hesaid. The three major basins of the Marmara region (Tekirdathe Central Marmara and Cinarcik Depressions) previously in 1935, 1963, and 2025with magnitudes of 6.2-6.4in sizeReminding thatit has produced earthquakes in the past,Bektaş stated that theseregions have a seismicstructure with similarcharacteristics.
EARTHQUAKE RISK IN MARMARAMIGRATION AND STRESS TRANSFERI
Bektaş stated, "The stress transfer and earthquake migration from the west of the region to the east have been proven by the earthquakes that occurred in the years 1912, 1963, and 1999." Regarding the 6.2 magnitude earthquake expected in the Silivri region in 2025,Evaluatingthe earthquake in the region as a part of this process,Bektaş pointed out thatfault segments in the Central Marmara and ÇınarcıkBasins that have not yet accumulated sufficient stress pose a potential danger, he noted.
THE EXTRAORDINARY DANGERIN ISTANBULIN 2025
Prof. Dr. Bektaş stated that the 6.1 magnitude earthquakeexpected to occur in Istanbul's Silivri districton April 23, 2025,parallels previous earthquakesthat have occurred in the region.showedthat and sucheventscould cause greatpanicamong thelocal population,he stated.