First poll after the nullity ruling: New party scenario changes the top spot

The results of the first election survey regarding how political balances will be shaped following the absolute nullity ruling from the judiciary have been published. The poll measured both the current landscape and the distribution of votes in a scenario where Özgür Özel, Ekrem İmamoğlu, and Mansur Yavaş leave the CHP to form a new party.

12punto

First poll after the nullity ruling: New party scenario changes the top spot

While developments following the absolute nullity ruling in Turkey and potential political scenarios continue to be discussed, a study has been conducted on how voter preferences would be shaped in a possible election.

According to the poll conducted by GÜNDEMAR Research between May 24-27, 2026, with 2 thousand 275 people in 60 provinces, the vote shares of the parties if an election were held this Sunday are as follows:

First poll after the nullity ruling: New party scenario changes the top spot

CHP: 31.90 percent

First poll after the nullity ruling: New party scenario changes the top spot

AKP: 28.09 percent

First poll after the nullity ruling: New party scenario changes the top spot

DEM Party: 8.42 percent

First poll after the nullity ruling: New party scenario changes the top spot

Victory Party (Zafer Partisi): 6.53 percent

First poll after the nullity ruling: New party scenario changes the top spot

İYİ Party: 6.25 percent

First poll after the nullity ruling: New party scenario changes the top spot

MHP: 6.05 percent

First poll after the nullity ruling: New party scenario changes the top spot

Anahtar Party: 4.16 percent

First poll after the nullity ruling: New party scenario changes the top spot

New Welfare Party (Yeniden Refah Partisi): 3.47 percent

First poll after the nullity ruling: New party scenario changes the top spot

TİP: 1.51 percent

First poll after the nullity ruling: New party scenario changes the top spot

Other parties: 3.62 percent

First poll after the nullity ruling: New party scenario changes the top spot


First poll after the nullity ruling: New party scenario changes the top spot

NEW PARTY SCENARIO ALSO MEASURED

In the research, the possibility of a new party, which came to the agenda following the absolute nullity ruling, was also asked to voters. Participants were asked to state their preferences in the event that Özgür Özel, Ekrem İmamoğlu, and Mansur Yavaş leave the CHP to form a new political entity. The results that emerged in this scenario were as follows:

First poll after the nullity ruling: New party scenario changes the top spot

New Party: 35.65 percent

First poll after the nullity ruling: New party scenario changes the top spot

AKP: 28.79 percent

First poll after the nullity ruling: New party scenario changes the top spot

DEM Party: 7.32 percent

First poll after the nullity ruling: New party scenario changes the top spot

CHP: 5.61 percent

First poll after the nullity ruling: New party scenario changes the top spot

MHP: 5.15 percent

First poll after the nullity ruling: New party scenario changes the top spot

Victory Party (Zafer Partisi): 4.66 percent

First poll after the nullity ruling: New party scenario changes the top spot

İYİ Party: 4.42 percent

First poll after the nullity ruling: New party scenario changes the top spot

Anahtar Party: 3.11 percent

First poll after the nullity ruling: New party scenario changes the top spot

New Welfare Party (Yeniden Refah Partisi): 2.44 percent

First poll after the nullity ruling: New party scenario changes the top spot

TİP: 0.65 percent

First poll after the nullity ruling: New party scenario changes the top spot

Other parties: 2.20 percent

First poll after the nullity ruling: New party scenario changes the top spot