Prof. Dr. Üşümezsoy on 'stress accumulation' and 'dead fault' claims: 'I have been writing about this since 2005'
Geoscientist Prof. Dr. Şener Üşümezsoy made statements regarding stress accumulation and dead faults during a live broadcast. Üşümezsoy also evaluated whether there is any danger in İznik.
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Üşümezsoy answered questions from Sözcü TV Editor-in-ChiefİpekÖzbey. He responded toher questions. Drawing attention to the Yalova-Çınarcık and Esenköy–Bozburun lineand the claim that the "Adalar Faultwill break"Opposing theseclaims, Üşümezsoy pointedoutthe actualdanger on the mapshowed.
Üşümezsoy emphasized that while the fault line in the region exists "physically," it does notcontain the stress necessary to trigger a major earthquake.He stressed that there is nosuch risk.
Regarding the "6.5 magnitude earthquake"Addressing theseclaims, Üşümezsoy stated that the Esenköy–Bozburun line'ssize and structure are technically capable of producing an earthquake of thismagnitude.that, however, thenecessary energy for this has notaccumulated, he emphasized.
'THE FAULTBEING DISCUSSED IS 'DEAD'
Prof. Dr. The keypointsfrom Prof. Dr. ŞenerÜşümezsoy's statementsare, in summary: asfollows:
"After the '99 earthquake, there was a stress accumulation on the Yalova–Esenköy–Çınarcık line, and this sis being said, but I am saying that the fault theredoes not have the accumulated energy to producean earthquake.I am stating this.
If you look at the length of the fault;it has a maximum magnitude of 6.5potential.it has the capacity to generate earthquakes.However, if there is no energy, there will be no earthquake.The energy in that region was consumed by the 1894 earthquake.The media has been writing for years that 'a 6.5 magnitude earthquake will occur,' but I have been explaining for 25 years that there is no stress there.
From Esenköyto Bozburun
the fault line is inactive.Therefore, there is no risk of a major earthquake in that specific segment.there is a fault line; but there is no fault going to the Islands. Therefore, the claim of an Islands earthquake isnotcorrect.
There is a fault in the sea from Silivri toBüyükçekmece. I stated that this is the only active fault creating a risk in the Marmara Sea.The fault that broke on April 23was also this same segment. I have always explained the same thing: theMarmara'sThe vast majority of ithas been ruptured, only thissmall section remains.
In 2019, the fault off the coast of Silivrialsoruptured. While people were saying the Adalar fault would rupture, I was onlyon the mapI was only pointingto this smallsegment in red. Because thereis no other active fault.
Büyükçekmece–Avcılarline.lar–Yeşilköy linethere is no second fault extending to. That fault is a dead fault. I have been writing this in my books since 2005.
The section up to Saros broke in 1912. Another segment broke in 1894. In 1999, the Yalova–Cınarcık–Esenköy sectionbroke. They all discharged one by one. A fault that has already broken will not break again; this is an important principle. Thereforethere are no lines left to break in the Marmara.
What I have been saying for yearsisvery simple: The only small segment in the Marmara with a risk of a major earthquake was the fault between Silivriand Büyükçekmece,and that has already broken.As for the rest of Istanbul,there is no expectation of a major earthquake.
My warnings regarding the Sındırgı earthquake were also correct and as they emerged, people began to believe more.I have beenexplaining this for a long timescientific framework is this."
IS THERE DANGER IN İZNİK?
Regarding the fault lines around the İznik Lake,which recently came to the agendawith the visit of Pope Leo XIV,the accepted "incorrectreferring to "new information" Üşümezsoy stated that the fault linepassesright along the shoreof the lakeandthat thiswas a situation related to the uplifts in the region and the subsidence of the lakehe stated.