Alarming temperature report from the World Meteorological Organization!
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has reported an 80 percent probability that the annual average global temperature will temporarily exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels in at least one of the next five years. It was also stated that there is an 86 percent chance that a new temperature record will be broken in at least one of the next five years.
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World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Deputy Secretary-General Ko Barrett announced the WMO's climate forecast report for the next five years at a press conference held at the UN Office in Geneva.
The report warns that the world is increasingly approaching the scenario set out in the Paris Agreement on climate change, which indicates that long-term temperature increases will occur over the coming decades.
The report notes that for each year between 2024 and 2028, the global average near-surface temperature is estimated to be 1.1 to 1.9 degrees higher than the pre-industrial baseline.
The report states that there is an 86 percent probability that a new temperature record will be broken in at least one of the next five years.
It was emphasized that there is a 47 percent probability that the average global temperature throughout the entire 5-year period between 2024 and 2028 will exceed the pre-industrial average by 1.5 degrees Celsius.
The report also included that there is an 80 percent probability that the annual average global temperature will temporarily exceed the pre-industrial average by 1.5 degrees Celsius in at least one of the next five years.
The report recalled that under the Paris Agreement, countries agreed to keep the long-term global average surface temperature well below 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels and to continue efforts to limit it to 1.5 degrees Celsius by the end of this century.
The report also stated that scientists have repeatedly warned that warming above 1.5 degrees Celsius carries the risk of much more serious climate change impacts and extreme weather conditions.
Underlining that devastating climate impacts are already being seen even at current levels of global warming, the report noted that these include more extreme heatwaves, heavy rainfall, drought, a reduction in ice sheets and glaciers, rising sea levels, and accelerating ocean warming.
The report recorded that in 2023, the global average near-surface temperature was approximately 1.45 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial period.
It was recalled that 2023 was the hottest year on record, driven by long-term warming combined with other factors and the El Niño weather phenomenon, which is currently waning.
"THE WORLD FACES THE RISK OF TRILLIONS OF DOLLARS IN ECONOMIC LOSSES"
WMO Deputy Secretary-General Barrett, in her assessment here, said the report clearly shows that the world is on a path to record-level warming.
Stating that the goal agreed upon under the Paris Agreement to keep the temperature for this century at 1.5 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial period is "not yet dead" but is "on life support," Barrett said, "However, the world faces the risk of trillions of dollars in economic losses, the upending of millions of lives, and the destruction of fragile and valuable ecosystems and biodiversity."
Barrett warned that "feared future scenarios" regarding climate change are now closer, pointing out that it is imperative to change this upward trend in temperatures.