A result that will make Erdoğan and Kılıçdaroğlu think: Özgür Özel's 'New Party' leaves its mark on polls from 3 different companies!
The "new party" discussions that emerged following the absolute nullity process have also been reflected in public opinion polls. In surveys conducted by three different research companies, the vote shares of the new party allegedly to be founded by Özgür Özel, the AKP, and the CHP under the leadership of Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu were measured.
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Discussions regarding absolute nullity within the CHP and claims that Özgür Özel will form a new party have become the subject of public opinion research.
THE "NEW PARTY" SCENARIO WAS MEASURED IN ALL THREE POLLS
In polls conducted by Rawest Research, Gündemar Research, and MetroPoll Research on different dates, the vote shares that parties could receive in a possible election scenario were shared.
RAWEST RESEARCH RESULTS
The research titled "Absolute Nullity and the New Party: Perceptions, Opinions, Attitudes," prepared by Rawest Research in cooperation with the Istanbul Policy Research Institute and the Friedrich Ebert Stiftung, was conducted between July 3-10.
Within the scope of the research, 1,985 people were interviewed in 20 provinces across Turkey.
According to the results obtained after the distribution of undecided voters, the vote shares of the parties were ranked as follows:
Özgür Özel's new party: 35.6%
AKP: 27.8%
DEM Party: 8.7%
MHP: 7.6%
Kılıçdaroğlu's CHP: 5.1%
İYİ Party: 4.7%
New Welfare Party (Yeniden Refah Partisi): 4.1%
Victory Party (Zafer Partisi): 2.8%
Key Party (Anahtar Partisi): 1.9%
Other: 1.8%
GÜNDEMAR RESEARCH RESULTS
In the poll conducted by Gündemar Research with 2,350 people in 60 provinces between June 24-27, participants were asked, "If there were a parliamentary election this Sunday, which political party would you vote for?"
According to the results of the research, the vote shares of the parties were announced as follows:
Özgür Özel's new party: 34.92%
AKP: 30.46%
DEM Party: 7.05%
Victory Party (Zafer Partisi): 4.98%
MHP: 4.76%
İYİ Party: 4.62%
Kılıçdaroğlu's CHP: 4.32%
YRP: 3.13%
Key Party (Anahtar Parti): 2.63%
Other: 2.30%
TİP: 0.83%
METROPOLL RESEARCH RESULTS
MetroPoll Research's "Pulse of Turkey" survey for June was conducted with 1,165 people between June 15-25, 2026.
In the research, participants were asked, "Let's say that in the next parliamentary election, the CHP enters the election under the leadership of Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu; and Özgür Özel enters the election by forming a separate political party. In such a case, which party would you vote for?"
The results announced after the proportional distribution of undecided, non-responsive, and protest votes were as follows:
Özgür Özel's new party: 33.8%
AKP: 27.0%
MHP: 6.6%
DEM: 11.0%
Kılıçdaroğlu's CHP: 5.0%
İYİ Party: 4.5%
Other: 4.0%
Zafer: 3.5%
YRP: 2.3%
Anahtar: 2.3%
