Danger bells ringing for 2028: The ruling party continues to melt in the polls
The research company SER-AR has announced the vote margins for Mansur Yavaş and Ekrem İmamoğlu against President Erdoğan in its 2025 election poll.
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SER-AR Research has announced the results of a poll conducted between December 5-8, 2025, across 26 provinces in Turkey.
The poll examined the vote percentages that different candidates received against Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in a presidential election.
The research was conducted using the computer-assisted telephone interviewing (CATI) method, with a total of 2,200 voters surveyed, and a confidence interval of 95% with a margin of error of ±1.95%.
In the research, the vote percentages that opposition candidates won against President Erdoğan in two different scenarios drew attention.
Ekrem İmamoğlu - Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Scenario:
Ekrem İmamoğlu: 44.5%
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan: 42.2%
Mansur Yavaş - Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Scenario:
Mansur Yavaş: 48.4%
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan: 41.8%
These results highlight the strong position of Ankara Metropolitan Municipality Mayor Mansur Yavaş against Erdoğan. Yavaş appears to have achieved a significant margin in his race against Erdoğan.
On the other hand, the 2.3% margin that Ekrem İmamoğlu holds against Erdoğan is also noteworthy.
While presenting the poll results to the public, SER-AR Research stated that it defines itself as "independent and impartial." The company has conducted and published the results of many political polls in the past.
