Report on Russia-Ukraine war published: Possibility of an offensive!

The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) has published its March 3, 2024, Ukraine-Russia War Report.

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The war between Russia and Ukraine has entered its third year. The ISW, a think tank monitoring the war, has published a new report on the course of the conflict. We have compiled the key findings from the ISW report for our readers. 

China and Turkey continue to pursue their own negotiation platforms to reach a resolution in Ukraine; the Kremlin is leveraging these platforms to advance its own information operations aimed at deterring international support for Ukraine.

Recent relatively high Russian aviation losses appear to be leading to a significant decrease in Russian aviation activity in eastern Ukraine, though this decline in activity may not last long.

Delays in Western security assistance will likely make Ukraine's energy infrastructure more vulnerable to Russian attacks.

Russian forces operating near Avdiivka continue to conduct ground offensive operations.

German officials have confirmed that the Kremlin is conducting an intelligence operation aimed at deterring Western states, particularly Germany, from sending additional military aid to Ukraine.

The Russian National Anti-Terrorism Committee (NAK) announced that the Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) conducted a local counter-terrorism operation in the city of Karabulak in the Republic of Ingushetia.

Clashes continued along the front line on March 3. Russian regional administrations continue their efforts to expand the scope of ongoing mobilization efforts. A new mobilization could be declared in Russia after the elections.

According to the ISW report, contrary to expectations, Russia could make significant progress on the front. Russian forces could take advantage of Ukraine's ammunition shortages to conduct large-scale offensive operations on the front line.