Experts evaluate US election for 12 Punto: 'A ticking time bomb for Turkey'

In the US presidential election, Republican Party candidate Donald Trump surpassed the 270-delegate threshold required to win, becoming president for a second time. 12 Punto columnist Bahadır Selim Dilek evaluated the reflections of the election on the world and Turkey.

Beste Çelik

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The United States went to the polls to determine its 47th president. As a result of the election between Democratic candidate Kamala Harris and Republican candidate Donald Trump, Trump was elected as the President of the US. 12 Punto columnist Bahadır Selim Dilek emphasized that after Trump's re-election, Iran would be placed in the crosshairs.

“THE WORLD IS TIRED OF GLOBALIST TERROR”

Listing the reasons for Trump's majority at the ballot box, Dilek stated, “Even though it seemed like Kamala Harris was neck and neck in the race, it was clear that Trump would win. There are many reasons for this, but I want to focus on the psychosocial reasons. The world is now tired of this globalist “terror”; there is a weariness regarding this issue. A reaction to this emerged in America, and people showed this by voting for Donald Trump. Because at the root of everything, there is people's political behavior in one way or another. Until today, we did not see such divisions in America. There was a swing, a pendulum between the Republicans and the Democrats. We would see the Republicans come in first, and the policies in the world would change accordingly. Then this pendulum would shift toward the Democrats, but in recent years, especially since the second half of the 90s, we have been seeing identity politics.”

“HE IS DRAWING A THICK LINE ON THE IMMIGRATION ISSUE”

Stating that identity politics has spread not only to the US but to the world during this period, Dilek said, “It is like this in Europe, and it is like this in Turkey. In Turkey, you see that even those who come to power claiming they will pursue class politics are chasing identity politics. Therefore, we can say that this fatigue was reflected in the elections in America in the form of Donald Trump being re-elected as president. You look at the policies he will follow; he is drawing a sharper, thicker line on this immigration issue. He wants America to turn inward; he wants the concept of the sacred family to be brought to the forefront. Therefore, people expressed their fatigue and weariness against the globalization approach as a reaction and went and voted for Donald Trump.”

“KURDS IN IRAN MAY BE INCITED”

Evaluating the US elections from the perspective of international relations, Dilek stated, “I think Ukraine will be pulled into a much weaker position than its current one. Those who stir up the Ukraine issue in Europe, I think, will make a U-turn, they will put it in reverse. In the Middle East, it can be expected that Iran will be placed in the crosshairs. Both in northern Iraq and in Syria, the PKK and the Barzani family form the nucleus of a Kurdish structure. Kurds in Iran may be incited in this sense. Making Iran more fragile through ethnicism and, in this way, the disintegration of Iran or a change in its regime may be in question. This may not happen through a direct attack on Iran. Everyone says that America's support for Israel will decrease, but I don't think so. Donald Trump, as you know, supported moving Israel's capital to Jerusalem. Therefore, he also has family relations with Netanyahu; they have very close relations. That is why I think the support for Israel will continue.”

“A TICKING TIME BOMB FOR TURKEY”

Expressing the effects of the election result on Turkey, Dilek warned, “If a turmoil breaks out in Iran, we can expect a very serious migration from there. Secondly, oil prices will skyrocket. When oil prices skyrocket, inflation in our country has already gone out of control. On the other side, the government is pursuing a Kurdish opening. It is not clear where this Kurdish opening will start and where it will end. If a constitutional amendment is made in line with his own demands, this means a ticking time bomb for Turkey. All of these affect us; that is, once it starts somewhere like a domino, it goes to the end. I think we need to watch Trump's first 3 months carefully after he sits in that chair again. Developments in the world are emerging so rapidly that one must show a reflex against them.”