In Saxony-Anhalt, the poorest state in eastern Germany, Sunday's local election saw a "demonized" party, the AfD, crush all other parties. It managed to secure two to three times more votes than its rivals.
But there is nothing new here. We are facing a "declaration of the obvious."
It is just that those who have been picking at "ethnic-religious" wounds everywhere have now seen a similar wound open up in reverse within themselves. That is the only thing that happened suddenly. Everyone is now facing a "sinkhole."
It seems that the Germany that emerged after 1989 has also grown with its wounds. That is a more accurate way to put it.
It seems that a mentality that discovers ethnic-religious-linguistic fissures packaged as democracy everywhere, and sows separatism when necessary, is now seeing a wound just as large as those it exploited beginning to bleed within itself.
One thing is certain: Germany has truly entered a new political earthquake zone. Fault lines are breaking.
The results of the state parliament election announced on Sunday night (let us also keep in mind that Turkey and Germany are intertwined in a way rarely seen) served as news of a foreshock. A conservative party, the AfD (Alternative for Germany), which the entire established system—with its state institutions, intelligence services, media, and established political class—has excluded, has shaken up the political market, starting from an eastern state.
This AfD is a radical Christian democratic party that, for now, turns a blind eye to the neo-fascist channels within it but keeps them under control. So, one must be careful when labeling them "Nazi" and so on. (We will discuss the reason for this another time.) However, it is also certain that it is a militant wing/channel of the German right.
So, how did an "anti-establishment party," the AfD, which gathered approximately 44 percent of the votes in Saxony-Anhalt, a state with a population of 2 million that is both elderly and the poorest, manage to rally the overwhelming majority of the people behind it? Why is Berlin confused?
Although there is nothing surprising about it, for some reason everyone continues to play the part of being surprised. They are receiving the results "as if it were a surprise."
What is happening?
THE SYSTEM IS SOUNDING THE ALARM!
We will provide an answer. But first, let us point out this: It is impossible for this matter to remain unconnected to Turkey. We write about it constantly: Turkey has been under the purview of Bonn-Berlin for decades in the outside world, and especially within Europe and NATO. Furthermore, there is a very intense relationship between the two countries, ranging from population movements to technology, from export items to technology/patent imports, from tourism to cultural ties, from archaeology to media technology, and even to doner kebabs, etc. Therefore, the glow or shadow of a lightning bolt striking "there" will inevitably fall "here" as well.
But what is tragic is the helplessness of a democratic mentality that finds and picks at "ethnic/religious/cultural" wounds in Europe and everywhere it is connected, when faced with a wound growing within itself that has suddenly become a "sinkhole."
They have suddenly identified a kind of DEM and a region determined by that German DEM within their own borders. Are the seeds of separatism that are being attempted to be scattered in a region of Turkey now reflecting back on Germany as a "pure German" reaction, starting from its east? Could their fears be related to this? Perhaps...
It is understood that we will have to touch upon this frequently in the future.
The AfD in Germany and the DEM in Turkey resemble political pictures reflected in a mirror in reverse. We will look at ours separately, but for now, let us recall two fundamental characteristics of this surge in Germany.
One: The support the AfD receives from the impoverished masses comes from validating their complaints about the influx of immigrants and asylum seekers. It tries to explain that poor "Bio-Germans" remain unemployed and poor not because of the free-market economy, but because of the "uncontrolled influx of asylum seekers." It appears that it is succeeding in explaining this. Does the fact that it could gather 44 percent of the votes in the country's poorest state not show that it has correctly identified the target and "hit" the right nerve? However, there is another reality here: In a Germany on the verge of an economic crisis of serious proportions, this is actually a form of "blackmail" that will make it easier to suppress the general level of wages (the most important cost and income item)... A bit of honey the AfD has smeared on the mouths of the "German precariat"...
Two: The AfD is also trying to bait industrial capital by paving the way for Russian energy, and it cannot be said that it is unsuccessful. Thus, it declares that it will overcome the energy bottleneck experienced in branches such as the machinery manufacturing industry, automotive, chemicals, and medical technology in the country with cheap energy sourced from Russia. This is an act of winning over the "factory-owning productive bourgeoisie" rather than the financial bourgeoisie. It has been a long time since it started receiving support.
THE REAL BLACKMAIL IS ON THE GENERAL WAGE LEVEL
So...
So, the AfD can market what they need to both the working masses and industrial capital at the same time. There is no major difference between it and established politics on any other issue.
To summarize: The two points above describe a lifebuoy thrown to the German economy, which is experiencing an intense production cost problem: These make it easier to suppress the general level of wages.
Despite its claims to the contrary, the AfD will be an additional pressure factor on the working classes.
So, does Berlin have the energy to overcome this latest earthquake?
Or, as the fear the established political class is trying to spread suggests, is the AfD a kind of Nazi Party?
Not for now.
However, such nationalism in an imperial state where one-third of the population (31.1 percent) has a "migration background" will inevitably trigger new reactions.
Nationalism does not hold up in imperial or imperialist countries, and big capital, in particular, does not want it at all. Because they have known well since the experience of Nazi Germany: Nationalist pressure will inevitably hit the interconnected global economy of the 21st century; foreign markets (for exports or investments) will close, imports of intermediate goods may be interrupted, and furthermore, labor costs will skyrocket domestically because the import of labor will stop, etc... Big capital cannot be "racist" in the 21st century. For it to be so would mean shooting itself in the heart. Big capital is cosmopolitan.
There is one more thing: According to some research in the media, beyond the figures announced by official offices, a population of over 4 million with roots in Turkey lives in Germany, which has a population of 83 million. (Official tables give a figure like 3 million.) Perhaps half of these people do not use Turkish, but they have that language in their ears. They will also have reactions. Therefore, it is unthinkable that a nationalist/pro-German rise would not create additional pressure on the "foreign population densities" in the country. The shadow of this will immediately fall on Turkey as well.
The summary of the summary: All of these are foreshocks, that is true.
Now everyone is playing with fire. Everyone... Everywhere...
We will talk about it...
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