The 'moment of truth' in Germany and Turkey

It is not for nothing that we write and say that Turkey has been under the 'custody' of the Federal Republic of Germany within Europe and NATO for nearly 50 years. Vahit Halefoğlu himself admitted years ago that this was the case. He was a conservative diplomat and politician who knew these matters well. The details are in our book, '12 Eylül-Bir Alman Pastası' (September 12 - A German Pie).

Leave history and such aside. Look at today: There is indeed a post-World War II Germany that has permeated all our historical and social fabrics, and we seem to have infiltrated a significant portion of its fabric as well. Ankara does not have a relationship of this intensity with its biggest boss, the USA.

Perhaps only our left and our media insist on not accepting this interconnectedness. Although there are some new signals...

Anyway...

We are trying to see what the winds that have been sown will reap. We are looking at Germany.

There are local elections in Germany this Sunday in two more states, one of which is the capital, both in the east. The state parliament election held two weeks ago in another state, Saxony-Anhalt, the poorest in the country, had caused all eyes in Europe to turn toward Germany.

Things could get even more complicated on Sunday.

Federal Chancellor Friedrich Merz might even resign. It depends on the result. The circle around the Christian Democrat politician has tightened significantly.

In the event of a heavy defeat in the state parliament elections in Berlin and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, the major partner of the federal government, the Christian Democrats (CDU and CSU), are expected to seek a remedy at the personnel level. A change in staff may be made. It would surprise no one if BlackRock millionaire Merz throws in the towel on Monday, depending on the election results.

The fact that the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party emerged from the Saxony-Anhalt state parliament election two weeks ago with a vote share reaching 44 percent had caused all of Europe to turn its eyes to the hegemon of the old continent.

If the AfD achieves a 'success' that exceeds expectations and predictions on Sunday, Germany could enter a path leading toward early elections.

Why? Because the crisis is deepening. Expensive energy continues to strike the German industry at its heart.

There is another tragic aspect to all these developments. The people of the German Democratic Republic, who invited a neoliberal barbarism by destroying the socialist republic, the young destroyers of that era, are now at retirement age and, if they haven't managed to secure a place for themselves somewhere, are waiting for death in terrible poverty, with welfare assistance and the like. When they realize that the chaos they lived through and actually opened the door to themselves has returned to them as a bill, they think they are sending a message by supporting the 'devil' (AfD) in the country.

THERE ARE SOME PARALLELS

Do we not see a similar, or even a precursor to, the destruction experienced by AKP supporters in Turkey in the Federal Republic of Germany? The masses who destroyed their republic in their youth or turned a blind eye to its destruction, the destroyers and those who consented, are now waiting for death in a dirty humiliation in the last quarter of their lives. Because neoliberal capitalism is like this: It has to vomit out the masses who invited it or did not react to it at the first sign of crisis.

We said that all of Europe has its eyes fixed on Berlin and the state of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern in the northeast of the country, as if it were something new. They are not wrong. Germany is an economic giant that can influence the fate of Europe to one degree or another, and whose national income is stated to reach 5.5 trillion dollars this year. Moreover, Chancellor Merz, whom we can say is not quite aware of what he is saying, had openly declared that they would build the largest conventional army in Europe.

Who can expect the developments here to remain without consequences?

East Germany is boiling.

Ziya Paşa wrote, 'For this scale cannot bear this much weight.' It is as if he wrote it for today's Germany as well. The fact that Volkswagen alone announced it would lay off 50 thousand personnel and that it was announced that military equipment such as missiles, armored vehicles, etc., would be produced in one of its factories instead of cars is an indicator...

The tragedy is this: There is no gathering on the left wing in Germany that can shoulder this disaster.

There is no left. We are in the graveyard of socialism. There is no objection, no intellectual violence that can reverse this fate. How can something that does not exist theoretically recover in practice?

Here, the situation is a bit different for us. We are not talking about the flirtations between the government and the 'reasonable opposition'... We have a theoretical rebellion, a counter-stance, a search for a new socialist republic...

Germany? There are a few 'left-wing social democrats' who pretend to be on the left, perhaps resembling our 'lost left-wing Kemalists': People like Oskar Lafontaine and Sahra Wagenknecht, along with their expanding circles, cannot yet be said to have been able to explain their troubles properly.

These people say, 'It is too early to label the AfD with racism.' They are right. Everyone knows about the existence of neo-Nazi and openly Hitlerite gangs within the AfD. They can be controlled for now, but no one knows what will happen later.

What will 'AfD Germany' be like? Its relations with Turkey?

In any case, a fracture in Germany will reflect on Turkey exponentially.

The opposite is also true, of course...

As we said, there is an incredible level of interconnectedness between the two countries. One last example in passing: It seems that with the vote share that will take over the state premiership of Berlin in Sunday's local election, the Left Party (Die Linke) and a female politician of Turkish origin, Elif Eralp, will emerge as the first party and form a 'left-wing state government.' Public opinion polls are in this direction. The 'left-wing' nature of that 'probable government' is a separate subject of debate, but it is a fracture no matter how you look at it.

Let's wait for Sunday night and see.