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The earthquake that occurred off the coast of Marmaraereğlisi and was felt in surrounding provinces, including Istanbul, has caused concern among the public regarding a new major earthquake. The Kandilli Observatory announced the magnitude of the earthquake as 4.0, while AFAD reported it as 3.7. Following the tremor, Geological Engineer Prof. Dr. Şener Üşümezsoy joined a live broadcast on TV100 to provide his assessment.
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''IT IS NOT MOVING TO A NEW FAULT''
Üşümezsoy stated that the recent earthquake is a continuation of the same line as the earthquakes that occurred in 2019 and on April 23, 2024. Stating, "This is a naturally occurring aftershock. It is not heading toward a new fault. It is the result of the accumulations the fault there is experiencing within itself," Üşümezsoy expressed that there is no scenario to fear, but that a new magnitude 6 earthquake could occur.
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''WE DO NOT EXPECT A SINGLE-PIECE RUPTURE''
Drawing attention to the depth of the fault, Üşümezsoy said, "The earthquakes in the Silivri trough extend to a depth of approximately 20 kilometers. Similarly, the earthquakes in the Tekirdağ trough reach 20-25 kilometers. For this reason, the fault is deep and the ruptures are occurring in pieces," he said.
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''THE 7.2 MAGNITUDE EARTHQUAKE SCENARIO IS NOT REALISTIC''
According to the expert, these fragmented ruptures do not point to a large amount of accumulated energy, stating, "A magnitude 7 or 7.2 earthquake that would rupture all at once is not expected. There is no basis for that feared scenario," he said.
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Responding to the question of whether there is a single, 180-kilometer-long fault line extending across the Marmara Sea, Üşümezsoy said, "No, that fault consists of two separate pieces. It is not possible for it to rupture as a whole."
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Üşümezsoy also claimed that Prof. Dr. Celal Şengör has also abandoned the single-piece fault scenario.
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Finally, touching upon how the aftershocks will proceed, Üşümezsoy stated, "They will continue at low intensities. Perhaps there could be one more magnitude 6 earthquake. But this fault is discharging itself with small energies, rupturing in pieces. There is no situation to panic about," he said.
News Source : 12punto