The first three months of data have been finalized in the calculations regarding the January 2027 raise for SSK and Bağ-Kur retirees. With the announcement of September inflation, the total inflation difference covering the July, August, and September period reached 5.57 percent.
The CPI increased by 1.84 percent on a monthly basis in September. When the 5.57 percent difference, which emerged with the 1.78 percent increase in July and the 1.84 percent increase in August, is applied to the current lowest pension of 23 thousand 552 TL, the amount rises to 24 thousand 864 TL.
However, inflation data for the last three months of the year will be awaited for the final raise rate to be applied in January 2027. For this reason, different salary scenarios are being calculated based on year-end forecasts.
FIVE SCENARIOS STAND OUT
According to year-end inflation expectations, it is stated that the 6-month raise rate could fall within the range of 8.70 percent to 10.73 percent. This range points to calculations for the lowest pension varying between 25 thousand 601 TL and 26 thousand 79 TL.
- - According to the Central Bank's 28 percent year-end inflation forecast, the 6-month raise rate is calculated as 8.70 percent. In this scenario, the lowest pension becomes 25 thousand 601 TL.
- - According to the 28.4 percent forecast in the Medium-Term Program, the 6-month increase rises to 9.04 percent; the lowest pension reaches 25 thousand 681 TL.
- - The 29.61 percent expectation in the Market Participants Survey points to a 10.07 percent raise rate and a lowest pension of 25 thousand 921 TL.
- - According to the 29.66 percent average forecast in the AA Finance expectation survey, the raise rate is 10.11 percent; the calculated lowest pension is 25 thousand 933 TL.
- - If the Financial Institutions Association's 30.39 percent inflation expectation is realized, the 6-month raise rises to 10.73 percent. In this case, the lowest pension is calculated as 26 thousand 79 TL.
Thus, in the scenario based on the highest inflation expectation, the 26 thousand TL level for the lowest pension has entered the calculations for the first time. The exact amount will become clear after the October, November, and December inflation data are announced and any necessary legal regulations are made.
News Source: 12punto
