How can Turkey qualify for the Round of 16 at EURO 2024? Win, loss, draw, best third-place...

After defeating Georgia 3-1 in Group F of EURO 2024, Turkey sits in 2nd place in the group with 3 points and a -1 goal difference following a 3-0 loss to Portugal.

The only goal for the Crescent-Stars, who will face Czechia in the final match of the group stage, is a victory.

HOW WILL TURKEY QUALIFY FOR THE EURO 2024 ROUND OF 16?

The results Turkey needs from the Czech Republic match and its possibilities for reaching the Round of 16 have become a subject of curiosity. Here are all the scenarios...

DOES TURKEY QUALIFY FOR THE ROUND OF 16 IF IT BEATS CZECHIA?

If Turkey beats Czechia and Portugal also beats or draws with Georgia, Turkey will advance to the Round of 16 as the group runner-up.

If Turkey beats Czechia and Georgia also beats Portugal, Turkey will qualify for the Round of 16 as the runner-up due to the head-to-head tiebreaker rule.

DOES TURKEY QUALIFY FOR THE ROUND OF 16 IF IT DRAWS WITH CZECHIA?

If Turkey draws with Czechia, and Portugal either beats or draws with Georgia, Turkey will reach 4 points and advance to the Round of 16 in 2nd place, ahead of Czechia, which would remain at 2 points.

If Turkey draws with Czechia and Georgia defeats Portugal, Portugal finishes as the leader with 6 points, while Turkey and Georgia both have 4 points. However, due to the head-to-head tiebreaker, since Turkey won the match between them 3-1, they finish 2nd in the group and advance to the Round of 16.

IF TURKEY LOSES TO CZECHIA, DO THEY STILL QUALIFY FOR THE ROUND OF 16?

In the event of a Portugal win or draw against Georgia, Georgia finishes last in the group with 1 or 2 points and is eliminated from the tournament.

If Turkey loses to Czechia, Czechia increases its points to 4 and advances as the group runner-up. With this result, Turkey remains at 3 points and, in the scenario where Portugal earns point(s) from Georgia, finishes in 3rd place.

With this result, Turkey will attempt to rank among the best third-placed teams.

In the event of a Georgia victory, Turkey remains at 3 points and is eliminated from the tournament, finishing last behind Czechia and Georgia, who both have 4 points.

TURKEY'S THIRD-PLACE POSSIBILITIES

The final matches of the EURO 2024 group stage will begin simultaneously on June 23-26, with one match at 19:00 and the other at 22:00.

In its final group match, Turkey will face Czechia at 22:00, while the match between Portugal and Georgia will be played at the same time.

For Turkey to qualify as one of the best third-placed teams, it must finish third in its group. The prerequisite for this scenario is for Turkey to be defeated by Czechia and for Portugal to secure points against Georgia.

GROUP A

For Turkey, the best outcome for a third-place finish is to exit with a 1-0 defeat. Thus, with 3 points and a -2 goal difference, Turkey now awaits the results from other groups.

The key match for the best third-place spot in Group A will be played between Scotland and Hungary on Sunday, June 23, at 22:00.

If Scotland wins, they will reach 4 points and rank above Turkey in the best third-place standings.

If Hungary wins, they will reach 3 points, and if they are ahead of Turkey in goal difference, Hungary will be ahead of Turkey in the best third-place rankings; if they are behind in goal difference, Turkey will be in an advantageous position.

GROUP B

In Group B, Italy, Albania, and Croatia will compete for the best third-place spot.

On Monday, June 24, at 10:00 PM, Albania will host Spain, while Croatia will host Italy.

Spain leads the group with 6 points and has already secured its ticket to the Round of 16.

Any point or points Spain earns against Albania will result in the Balkan representative's elimination from the group stage. If Albania wins, they will be tied on points with Croatia in the event of a Croatian victory; since their head-to-head match ended in a 2-2 draw, Albania would either advance as the runner-up based on goal difference or qualify as one of the best third-placed teams with 4 points. With this result, Albania would rank ahead of Turkey, which has 3 points.

In the Italy-Croatia match, Italy will advance to the next round if they secure a victory.

If Italy draws with Croatia, they will be the ones to smile and advance to the next round in the scenario where Albania defeats Spain.

If Italy loses to Croatia, they will remain on 3 points. If Albania draws, Italy will be among the best third-placed teams, and if this defeat is by a 1-goal margin, they will rank above Turkey. However, if Albania also wins, they will bid farewell to the tournament in last place.

GROUP C

In Group C, the Denmark-Serbia and England-Slovenia matches will be played on Tuesday, June 25, at 22:00.

In the group, England earned 4 points, Denmark 2, Slovenia 2, and Serbia 1.

England will advance if they win or draw against Slovenia.

England remains at 4 points if they are defeated by Slovenia and Denmark beats Serbia, leaving them to wait for the results of their rivals to see if they qualify as one of the best third-placed teams. Furthermore, with this result, England ranks above Turkey.

Slovenia, on the other hand, will secure its place in the Round of 16 if it wins.

If Slovenia draws, they reach 3 points. With this result, England advances; in the event of a Denmark victory, they secure a spot among the best third-placed teams, and with a draw, they finish ahead of Turkey due to goal difference.

If Denmark draws with Serbia, Slovenia will advance if they also draw, provided they are the side that has scored the most goals.

Denmark will advance if they win, and in the scenario where Slovenia or England wins or draws.

In the scenario where Denmark draws; if England wins, they advance, while if they draw, they advance in the scenario where they score more goals than Slovenia in their draw. Otherwise, they finish as one of the best third-placed teams and await other results. However, due to goal difference, they are ranked ahead of Turkey.

In the scenario where Denmark loses, if Slovenia suffers a larger defeat, they compete for the best third-place spot and remain at 2 points. Thus, they finish below Turkey.

However, in the scenario where Slovenia wins, they bid farewell to the group stage.

As for Serbia, they will advance if they win and England also wins.

Serbia advances in the scenario where they win and England draws.

In the scenario where Serbia draws and England wins, they are eliminated from the group stage.

In a scenario where Serbia draws and Slovenia wins, they bid farewell to the group stage.

In a scenario where Serbia draws and Slovenia also draws, they both bid farewell to the group stage.

GROUP D

In Group D, the France-Poland and Netherlands-Austria matches will be played on Tuesday, June 25, at 19:00.

If the Netherlands wins or draws, they will secure their place in the Round of 16.

If the Netherlands loses, they will still advance if France also loses and they remain ahead on goal difference. If the Netherlands loses, and they also lose in France but fall behind France on goal difference, they will qualify as one of the best third-placed teams, reaching a more advantageous position than Turkey with 4 points.

If the Netherlands or France win or draw, they will rank among the best third-placed teams and be positioned above Turkey.

France will secure their place in the Round of 16 if they win or draw.

If France loses, they will advance if the Netherlands also loses and France remains ahead on goal difference. If France loses, they will qualify as one of the best third-placed teams if the Netherlands also loses and France falls behind the Netherlands on goal difference, reaching a more advantageous position than Turkey with 4 points.

If France or the Netherlands win or draw, they will rank among the best third-placed teams and be positioned above Turkey.

If Austria wins, they will secure their place in the round of 16.

If Austria draws, they will advance if France wins. If France draws, they will advance because they will have scored more goals than the Netherlands.

If Austria loses to the Netherlands, they enter the list of best third-placed teams and await other results. If they are defeated by a margin of 1 or 2 goals, they remain in an advantageous position over Turkey; if they lose by a margin of 3 goals, Turkey moves into the advantageous position.

GROUP E

Romania, Belgium, Slovakia, and Ukraine, which are in Group E, all have 3 points.

On Wednesday, June 26, at 19:00, the Slovakia-Romania and Ukraine-Belgium matches will be played.

In this group, if one team wins in either of the two matches, the winning teams will advance to the next round. While one of the defeated teams will become one of the best third-placed teams, the team that won or had a superior goal difference in the match played between them will wait to see if they secure a visa for the Round of 16. The worst-case scenario for Turkey is for the matches to end in a draw, while the best-case scenario is for the best third-placed team to remain on 3 points with a goal difference of at least -3.