SONAR and BETİMAR release latest election polls: Unprecedented gap between AKP and CHP

Following the March 31 local elections, public opinion polling companies are continuing their survey work amidst the ongoing discussions regarding early elections.

Most recently, the survey results from SONAR Research, owned by Hakan Bayrakçı, who is known for his proximity to the government, and BETİMAR Research have emerged.

The latest study by SONAR Research was published on Halk TV.

SONAR, one of the polling companies that provided the closest results for the May 14 elections, asked its participants two questions: 'Should an early election be held?' and 'If an election were held today, who would you vote for?'

SHOULD AN EARLY ELECTION BE HELD?

While 53.1 percent of survey participants said 'Yes' to an early election, 40.7 percent responded 'No'.

8 PERCENT GAP BEFORE UNDECIDED VOTERS ARE DISTRIBUTED

According to the results of the survey before the undecided voters are distributed, the CHP ranks first with 24.4 percent, while the AKP ranks second with 16.1 percent. It is followed by the MHP with 7.5 percent and the DEM Party with 7.2 percent.

The results before the distribution of undecided voters are as follows;

CHP: 24.4 PERCENT

AKP: 16.1 PERCENT

MHP: 7.5 PERCENT

DEM PARTY: 7.2 PERCENT

İYİ PARTY: 3.6 PERCENT

YENİDEN REFAH: 3.4 PERCENT

ZAFER PARTY: 3.2 PERCENT

OTHER: 2 PERCENT

IF AN ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY, WHO WOULD YOU VOTE FOR?

In the latest SONAR poll, the gap between the AKP and the CHP drew attention once the undecided voters were redistributed.

After the undecided voters are redistributed;

CHP: 36.2 PERCENT

AKP: 23.8 PERCENT

MHP: 11.2 PERCENT

DEM PARTY: 10.7 PERCENT

İYİ PARTY: 5.3 PERCENT

YENIDEN REFAH: 5.0 PERCENT

VICTORY PARTY: 4.8 PERCENT

OTHER: 3 PERCENT

SMALLER MARGIN IN BETIMAR

Sözcü columnist Aytunç Erkin shared the August 2024 results of the “Turkey Political Agenda Research” conducted by the BETIMAR research company.

According to Aytunç Erkin's column, the results of the survey conducted with 1,500 people across 26 provinces covering all of Turkey are as follows:

First, let's look at the political views of the survey participants: Conservative 12.5 percent, Muslim/Islamist 21.3 percent, Kemalist/Secular 24.8 percent, Turkish nationalist 21.1 percent, Kurdish nationalist 1.9 percent, Democrat/Social Democrat 7.5 percent, other 6.1 percent, no answer 4.9 percent.

The question I read the answer to with curiosity is this: If there were a parliamentary general election this Sunday, which party would you vote for?

Results before the undecided voters are redistributed: CHP 31.1 percent, AK Party 26.3 percent, MHP 8.7 percent, DEM 7.6 percent, New Welfare Party 5.7 percent, Victory Party 3.4 percent, IYI Party 2.6 percent, TİP 0.9 percent, Others 3.1 percent, I will not vote 4.6 percent, I am undecided 4.4 percent, No answer 1.4 percent, I will cast an invalid vote 0.3 percent.

So, after the undecided voters are distributed, the results are: CHP 34.7 percent, AK Party 29.4 percent, MHP 9.9 percent, DEM 8 percent, New Welfare Party 6.5 percent, Victory Party 3.9 percent, IYI Party 3.2 percent, TİP 1 percent, and others 3.5 percent.

Here are the survey results from BETİMAR...