1 month left until the US elections... Who is leading in the states that will determine the fate of the election: Trump or Harris?

With one month left until election day, polls point to a tight race. Although Vice President Harris leads nationally by a small margin, the race is very close in key states. According to data from The Hill and Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ), Harris appears to be leading former President Trump by 3.4 points. However, this advantage has narrowed in key states.

According to a report by CNBC, Harris is leading in four of the seven critical states, while Trump is in the lead in three. However, in none of these states is either candidate leading by more than 2 points. In five states, the lead is less than 1 point. Campaigns will engage in an intense struggle in the final weeks to get their supporters to the polls and win over undecided voters.

Trump’s campaign and its affiliated committees began October with 283 million dollars in cash, while the Harris campaign has not yet released its September fundraising data. According to Bloomberg, the Harris team spent 192 million dollars in September, compared to Trump’s 72 million dollars in spending. This financial superiority could provide an advantage to Harris, especially in TV advertising.

Current status in key states:

Arizona

In Arizona, Trump is leading by eight-tenths of a point according to The Hill/DDHQ average. The issue of immigration is one of Trump’s strongest areas of defense in this state, which shares a border with the frontier. Emerson College and HighGround polls show a neck-and-neck race in the state.

Georgia

Trump is leading by seven-tenths of a point in Georgia, which Biden won by a very narrow margin in 2020. The fact that Biden was the first Democrat to win the state since 1992 shows that Harris could also face a tough race here. The turnout of African American voters in the state is of great importance.

Michigan

Harris is leading in Michigan by only two-tenths of a point. However, approximately 200,000 Arab Americans live in the state, and the crisis in the Middle East could have an impact on this voter base. This situation could paint a negative picture for Harris.

Nevada

In Nevada, Harris is leading by 2 points according to The Hill/DDHQ average. Although the state has shown a Democratic leaning in recent years, the race is still critical. Harris is receiving strong support in this state with policies popular among hospitality sector workers.

North Carolina

Harris is trailing in North Carolina by only eight-tenths of a point. Support among Black Americans and college graduates could increase Harris’s chances here. According to census data, the proportion of college graduates in the state is higher than in other key states.

Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania is a critical state due to its 19 electoral votes. Harris is leading here by eight-tenths of a point. Both Harris and Trump are conducting an intense campaign in this state.

Wisconsin

Harris is leading in Wisconsin by 1.3 points, but polls in the state may not be reliable. It is known that polls provided misleading results in the 2016 and 2020 elections. Wisconsin may be advantageous for Democrats due to the abortion issue.

News Source: 12punto